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Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tonis Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 33 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Sonsbeck

PPG 1.19 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

SC St. Tonis

PPG 1.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-16.0%0-26.7%0-34.9%0-4+4.6%1 1-03.8%1-18.3%1-29.3%1-36.9%1-4+6.4%2 2-02.6%2-15.8%2-26.4%2-34.8%2-4+4.4%3 3-01.2%3-12.7%3-23.0%3-32.2%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 45.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 40.5% — — —

Away O1.5 65.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.4%

A 46% / xG 1.4-2.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 1–3 6.9%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sonsbeck1.4

SC St. Tonis2.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SONSBECK · PPG 1.19

SC ST. TONIS · PPG 1.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.81) vs Home AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

Sonsbeck (H) 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SC St. Tonis (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sonsbeck face SC St. Tonis in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sonsbeck a 32% chance, the draw 22% and SC St. Tonis 46%, so SC St. Tonis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sonsbeck and 2.2 for SC St. Tonis (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sonsbeck are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.81 for SC St. Tonis. This match finished 4-2.

Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tonis Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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