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Schonnebeck vs Homberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 33 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:30

Schonnebeck

PPG 1.94 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Homberg

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=58.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.5%0-21.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.0%1-16.6%1-24.3%1-31.9%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.7%2-18.7%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.9%3-17.8%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.5%4+-19.8%4+-26.4%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.5% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 45.5% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 74.5% — — —

Away O1.5 37.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.4%

H 58% / xG 2.7-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 3–1 7.8%

#3 1–1 6.6%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 3–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schonnebeck2.7

Homberg1.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHONNEBECK · PPG 1.94

HOMBERG · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=58.5%

Win probability 1X2

Schonnebeck (H) 58.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Homberg (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schonnebeck face Homberg in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schonnebeck a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Homberg 21%, so Schonnebeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Schonnebeck and 1.3 for Homberg (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schonnebeck are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 0.94 for Homberg. This match finished 4-0.

Schonnebeck vs Homberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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