South-Africa - Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 30Mbombela Stadium· NelspruitSaturday, May 23, 202613:00
Orbit CollegePPG 0.86
0-2HIT MostLikelyScore
Orlando PiratesPPG 2.36
Home· +75.7%✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home11.9%
Odds: 19.00EV: +75.7%
Draw22.5%
Odds: 6.25EV: +24.4%
Away65.6%
Odds: 1.17EV: -23.3%
Model lean: AwayNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.5%Odds: 1.62-24.7%
Over 3.520.1%Odds: 2.55-29.3%
BTTS46.2%Odds: 2.50+15.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st0-2✔
2nd0-1✘
3rd0-0✘
4th0-3✘
5th1-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Orbit College
0.42
Orlando Pirates
1.89
Model Suggestion
Away-23.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -23.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home (+75.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs Home POOR (0.86)