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Orbit College vs Orlando Pirates Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:00

Orbit College

PPG 0.86 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Orlando Pirates

PPG 2.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.6% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-118.9%0-217.8%0-311.2%0-4+8.1%1 1-04.2%1-17.9%1-27.4%1-34.7%1-4+3.4%2 2-00.9%2-11.6%2-21.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.9% 5.3% 19.00 +75.7%

Draw 22.5% 16.0% 6.25 +24.4%

Away win 65.6% 85.5% 1.17 -23.3%

Over 2.5 46.5% 61.7% 1.62 -24.7%

Over 3.5 20.1% 39.2% 2.55 -29.3%

BTTS 46.2% 40.0% 2.50 +15.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -23.2%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob46.2%

A 66% / xG 0.4-1.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 17.8%

#2 0–1 18.9%

#3 0–0 10.0%

#4 0–3 11.2%

#5 1–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orbit College0.4

Orlando Pirates1.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 20.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ORBIT COLLEGE · PPG 0.86

ORLANDO PIRATES · PPG 2.36

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs Home POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Orbit College (H) 11.9%

ODDS 19.00 · IMPLIED 5.3% EV +75.7%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +24.4%

Orlando Pirates (A) 65.6%

ODDS 1.17 · IMPLIED 85.5% EV -23.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Orbit College face Orlando Pirates in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orbit College a 12% chance, the draw 23% and Orlando Pirates 66%, so Orlando Pirates are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Orbit College and 1.9 for Orlando Pirates (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orbit College are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 2.36 for Orlando Pirates. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +75.7%. This match finished 0-2.

Orbit College vs Orlando Pirates Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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