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South-Africa - Premier Soccer League logo South-Africa flag South-Africa - Premier Soccer League Regular Season - 30 Mbombela Stadium· Nelspruit Saturday, May 23, 2026 13:00
Orbit College logo Orbit College PPG 0.86
0-2 HIT MostLikelyScore
Orlando Pirates logo Orlando Pirates PPG 2.36
Home· +75.7% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.9%
Odds: 19.00 EV: +75.7%
Draw 22.5%
Odds: 6.25 EV: +24.4%
Away 65.6%
Odds: 1.17 EV: -23.3%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.62 -24.7%
Over 3.5 20.1% Odds: 2.55 -29.3%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.50 +15.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-0
4th 0-3
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Orbit College
0.42
Orlando Pirates
1.89

Model Suggestion

Away -23.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -23.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+75.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs Home POOR (0.86)

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