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Marumo G. vs Stellenbosch Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:00

Marumo G.

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Stellenbosch

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.7%0-117.6%0-27.1%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.5%1-112.6%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.6%2-14.5%2-21.8%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.3%3-11.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% 43.9% 2.28 -21.1%

Draw 39.4% 32.8% 3.05 +20.2%

Away win 32.1% 30.3% 3.30 +5.9%

Over 2.5 33.1% 41.7% 2.40 -20.6%

Over 3.5 6.9% 21.1% 4.75 -40.3%

BTTS 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

D 39% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 21.7%

#2 0–1 17.6%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 15.5%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marumo G.0.7

Stellenbosch0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.1% · O3.5 PROB 6.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MARUMO G. · PPG 1.00

STELLENBOSCH · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

46%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Marumo G. (H) 28.4%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV -21.1%

Draw 39.4%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +20.2%

Stellenbosch (A) 32.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Marumo G. face Stellenbosch in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marumo G. a 28% chance, the draw 39% and Stellenbosch 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Marumo G. and 0.8 for Stellenbosch (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marumo G. are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.07 for Stellenbosch. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +20.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Marumo G. vs Stellenbosch Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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