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Buderich vs Meerbusch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 32 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:30

Buderich

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Meerbusch

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.2%0-23.1%0-32.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-03.6%1-16.9%1-26.7%1-34.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.8%3-15.5%3-25.3%3-33.4%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.9%4+-24.8%4+-33.0%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 34.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 58.6% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.0%

H 44% / xG 2.2-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 6.9%

#2 2–1 7.5%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buderich2.2

Meerbusch1.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 58.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDERICH · PPG 1.00

MEERBUSCH · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Buderich (H) 43.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meerbusch (A) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buderich face Meerbusch in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buderich a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Meerbusch 34%, so Buderich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Buderich and 1.9 for Meerbusch (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buderich are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.13 for Meerbusch. This match finished 1-1.

Buderich vs Meerbusch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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