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Uerdingen vs Kleve Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 32 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Uerdingen

PPG 2.13 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kleve

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.5%0-21.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.6%1-18.3%1-24.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.8%3-17.6%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-17.7%4+-23.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.0% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 19.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 59% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–1✓ 8.3%

#4 3–0 7.8%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uerdingen2.3

Kleve1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UERDINGEN · PPG 2.13

KLEVE · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=59.0%

Win probability 1X2

Uerdingen (H) 59.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kleve (A) 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uerdingen face Kleve in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uerdingen a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Kleve 20%, so Uerdingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Uerdingen and 1.0 for Kleve (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uerdingen are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.73 for Kleve. This match finished 1-1.

Uerdingen vs Kleve Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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