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Homberg vs Blau-W. Dingden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 32 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Homberg

PPG 1.20 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Blau-W. Dingden

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-17.5%0-25.8%0-33.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.3%1-111.1%1-28.5%1-34.4%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.4%2-18.3%2-26.3%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.7%3-14.1%3-23.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 35.6% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 4.9%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Homberg1.5

Blau-W. Dingden1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HOMBERG · PPG 1.20

BLAU-W. DINGDEN · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Homberg (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Blau-W. Dingden (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Homberg face Blau-W. Dingden in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Homberg a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Blau-W. Dingden 37%, so Blau-W. Dingden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Homberg and 1.5 for Blau-W. Dingden (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Homberg are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.40 for Blau-W. Dingden. This match finished 5-1.

Homberg vs Blau-W. Dingden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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