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Holzheimer SG vs G. Ratingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 32 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Holzheimer SG

PPG 1.20 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

G. Ratingen

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.7%0-26.1%0-35.2%0-4+6.3%1 1-02.6%1-16.7%1-28.6%1-37.4%1-4+8.9%2 2-01.8%2-14.8%2-26.1%2-35.3%2-4+6.4%3 3-00.9%3-12.3%3-22.9%3-32.5%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.1%4+-21.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.8% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 57.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 56.8% — — —

BTTS 62.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob62.6%

A 57% / xG 1.4-2.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.6%

#2 1–1 6.7%

#3 1–3 7.4%

#4 2–2✓ 6.1%

#5 0–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holzheimer SG1.4

G. Ratingen2.6

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 56.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLZHEIMER SG · PPG 1.20

G. RATINGEN · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Holzheimer SG (H) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

G. Ratingen (A) 57.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holzheimer SG face G. Ratingen in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holzheimer SG a 22% chance, the draw 21% and G. Ratingen 57%, so G. Ratingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Holzheimer SG and 2.6 for G. Ratingen (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holzheimer SG are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 2.07 for G. Ratingen. This match finished 2-2.

Holzheimer SG vs G. Ratingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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