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Vlasim vs Banik Ostrava B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Vlasim

PPG 1.57 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Banik Ostrava B

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.6%0-24.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.8%1-111.9%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.4%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.5%3-14.9%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% 46.5% 2.15 +5.3%

Draw 26.1% 28.6% 3.50 -5.2%

Away win 24.9% 34.7% 2.88 -17.0%

Over 2.5 52.6% 61.7% 1.62 -14.8%

Over 3.5 28.2% 39.2% 2.55 -16.9%

BTTS 52.6% 66.7% 1.50 -21.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 0–0 6.8%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vlasim1.6

Banik Ostrava B1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VLASIM · PPG 1.57

BANIK OSTRAVA B · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Vlasim (H) 49.0%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +5.3%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -5.2%

Banik Ostrava B (A) 24.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vlasim face Banik Ostrava B in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vlasim a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Banik Ostrava B 25%, so Vlasim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Vlasim and 1.1 for Banik Ostrava B (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vlasim are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.29 for Banik Ostrava B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Vlasim vs Banik Ostrava B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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