Today / Czech-Republic - FNL / Usti nad Labem vs Slavia Prague B

Usti nad Labem vs Slavia Prague B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Usti nad Labem

PPG 1.93 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slavia Prague B

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.9%0-22.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.5%1-19.9%1-25.8%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.6%3-16.5%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-15.2%4+-23.0%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 57.1% 1.75 -9.5%

Draw 24.0% 26.7% 3.75 -6.0%

Away win 24.3% 25.6% 3.90 -3.1%

Over 2.5 61.4% 69.0% 1.45 -11.0%

Over 3.5 38.9% 47.6% 2.10 -18.3%

BTTS 59.7% 70.4% 1.42 -15.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1✓ 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Usti nad Labem2.0

Slavia Prague B1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

USTI NAD LABEM · PPG 1.93

SLAVIA PRAGUE B · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Usti nad Labem (H) 51.7%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -9.5%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.0%

Slavia Prague B (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Usti nad Labem face Slavia Prague B in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Usti nad Labem a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Slavia Prague B 24%, so Usti nad Labem are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Usti nad Labem and 1.2 for Slavia Prague B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Usti nad Labem are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.14 for Slavia Prague B. This match finished 2-1.

Usti nad Labem vs Slavia Prague B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions