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Taborsko vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Taborsko

PPG 1.93 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Opava

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-19.7%0-24.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.5%1-112.9%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.0%2-18.6%2-24.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.0%3-13.8%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 54.1% 1.85 -13.4%

Draw 28.1% 29.4% 3.40 -2.7%

Away win 25.2% 27.0% 3.70 -4.1%

Over 2.5 46.3% 56.5% 1.77 -18.1%

Over 3.5 19.9% 33.9% 2.95 -24.8%

BTTS 51.6% 60.6% 1.65 -14.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 47% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 10.1%

#3 1–0✓ 13.5%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taborsko1.3

Opava1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TABORSKO · PPG 1.93

OPAVA · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=46.8%

Win probability 1X2

Taborsko (H) 46.8%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -13.4%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -2.7%

Opava (A) 25.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Taborsko face Opava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taborsko a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Opava 25%, so Taborsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Taborsko and 1.0 for Opava (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taborsko are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.07 for Opava. This match finished 1-0.

Taborsko vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions