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Sparta Prague B vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Sparta Prague B

PPG 0.93 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Jihlava

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-112.1%0-27.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.6%1-113.3%1-27.7%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.4%2-17.3%2-24.2%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.3%3-12.7%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 55.6% 1.80 -36.3%

Draw 28.3% 28.2% 3.55 +0.3%

Away win 36.3% 26.7% 3.75 +36.1%

Over 2.5 46.2% 58.8% 1.70 -21.5%

Over 3.5 19.1% 36.4% 2.75 -28.5%

BTTS 51.6% 62.5% 1.60 -17.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.6%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 0–1 12.1%

#4 1–0 11.6%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta Prague B1.1

Jihlava1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA PRAGUE B · PPG 0.93

JIHLAVA · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.64)

Win probability 1X2

Sparta Prague B (H) 35.4%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -36.3%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +0.3%

Jihlava (A) 36.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +36.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta Prague B face Jihlava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta Prague B a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Jihlava 36%, so Jihlava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sparta Prague B and 1.2 for Jihlava (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta Prague B are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.64 for Jihlava. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +36.1%. This match finished 0-2.

Sparta Prague B vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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