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Pribram vs Prostejov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Pribram

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Prostejov

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-19.9%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.4%1-112.9%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-18.3%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.3%3-13.6%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 55.6% 1.80 -14.0%

Draw 28.0% 27.4% 3.65 +1.3%

Away win 24.3% 27.8% 3.60 -7.5%

Over 2.5 46.2% 58.8% 1.70 -21.5%

Over 3.5 16.7% 35.7% 2.80 -31.9%

BTTS 48.6% 60.6% 1.65 -19.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0✓ 11.9%

#3 1–0 15.4%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pribram1.3

Prostejov0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PRIBRAM · PPG 1.71

PROSTEJOV · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=47.8%

Win probability 1X2

Pribram (H) 47.8%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -14.0%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +1.3%

Prostejov (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pribram face Prostejov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pribram a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Prostejov 24%, so Pribram are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pribram and 0.8 for Prostejov (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pribram are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.79 for Prostejov. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Pribram vs Prostejov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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