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C. Budejovice vs Chrudim Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

C. Budejovice

PPG 1.43 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Chrudim

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-18.9%0-24.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.8%1-112.6%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.1%2-19.0%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.2%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 40.8% 2.45 +18.3%

Draw 27.2% 29.4% 3.40 -4.5%

Away win 24.5% 39.2% 2.55 -22.5%

Over 2.5 47.6% 57.1% 1.75 -16.7%

Over 3.5 22.3% 35.1% 2.85 -21.9%

BTTS 51.6% 63.7% 1.57 -19.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 48% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 9.0%

#3 1–0 12.8%

#4 2–0 9.1%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Budejovice1.4

Chrudim1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.43

CHRUDIM · PPG 0.71

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

C. Budejovice (H) 48.3%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +18.3%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.5%

Chrudim (A) 24.5%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -22.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Budejovice face Chrudim in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Budejovice a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Chrudim 25%, so C. Budejovice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for C. Budejovice and 1.0 for Chrudim (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Budejovice are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.71 for Chrudim. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.3%. This match finished 1-2.

C. Budejovice vs Chrudim Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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