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Sweden - Division 2 - Östra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Östra Götaland Södra Götaland - 8 Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00
Nosaby logo Nosaby PPG 1.67
2-0 HIT CS3
Solvesborg logo Solvesborg PPG 1.00
Home· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.7%
Odds: 2.10 EV: +8.6%
Draw 24.0%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -6.0%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -19.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
Over 3.5 42.4% Odds: 2.30 -2.5%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.44 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Nosaby
2.06
Solvesborg
1.26

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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