← Back to picks 
Sweden - Division 2 - Östra Götaland Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 
Karlskrona PPG 2.33 
Staffanstorp Un PPG 1.00
Sweden - Division 2 - Östra Götaland Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 Karlskrona PPG 2.331-1 HIT CS3
Staffanstorp Un PPG 1.00Away· +7.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.38 -11.8%
Over 3.5 45.5% Odds: 1.95 -11.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.50 -18.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✔
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlskrona 2.52
Staffanstorp Un 0.94
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -11.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=60.8%