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Stellenbosch vs Orbit College Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Stellenbosch

PPG 1.29 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDWD

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Orbit College

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-111.2%0-24.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.7%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.2%2-17.2%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.9%3-12.7%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% 56.2% 1.78 -20.3%

Draw 31.9% 27.4% 3.65 +16.4%

Away win 23.3% 23.3% 4.30 +0.1%

Over 2.5 35.0% 46.5% 2.15 -24.8%

Over 3.5 11.6% 23.8% 4.20 -30.8%

BTTS 46.9% 50.0% 2.00 -6.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.9%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.8%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 2–0✓ 10.2%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stellenbosch1.1

Orbit College0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STELLENBOSCH · PPG 1.29

ORBIT COLLEGE · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

47%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Stellenbosch (H) 44.8%

ODDS 1.78 · IMPLIED 56.2% EV -20.3%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +16.4%

Orbit College (A) 23.3%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +0.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stellenbosch face Orbit College in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stellenbosch a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Orbit College 23%, so Stellenbosch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Stellenbosch and 0.7 for Orbit College (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stellenbosch are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.86 for Orbit College. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +16.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Stellenbosch vs Orbit College Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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