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Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Richards Bay

PPG 1.57 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDDL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Sekhukhune

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.8%0-117.1%0-27.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.6%1-112.8%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.8%2-14.8%2-22.0%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.5%3-11.2%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.2% 34.0% 2.94 -8.3%

Draw 36.4% 35.7% 2.80 +1.9%

Away win 32.4% 37.0% 2.70 -12.5%

Over 2.5 35.0% 35.7% 2.80 -2.0%

Over 3.5 7.5% 17.4% 5.75 -34.1%

BTTS 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

D 36% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.8%

#2 0–1 17.1%

#3 1–1✓ 12.8%

#4 1–0 15.6%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Richards Bay0.8

Sekhukhune0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RICHARDS BAY · PPG 1.57

SEKHUKHUNE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

46%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Richards Bay (H) 31.2%

ODDS 2.94 · IMPLIED 34.0% EV -8.3%

Draw 36.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +1.9%

Sekhukhune (A) 32.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Richards Bay face Sekhukhune in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Richards Bay a 31% chance, the draw 36% and Sekhukhune 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Richards Bay and 0.8 for Sekhukhune (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Richards Bay are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.50 for Sekhukhune. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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