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South-Africa - Premier Soccer League logo South-Africa flag South-Africa - Premier Soccer League Regular Season - 29 Pietersburg Stadium· Polokwane Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:00
Polokwane logo Polokwane PPG 1.36
1-1 HIT CS3
Marumo G. logo Marumo G. PPG 0.64
Home· +44.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: +44.9%
Draw 38.6%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +23.5%
Away 20.0%
Odds: 2.14 EV: -34.3%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 2.70 -18.2%
Over 3.5 5.2% Odds: 5.50 -42.8%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.20 -8.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Polokwane
0.91
Marumo G.
0.48

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 65%
ROI -19.2%
Bet Hit 39% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.36) > Away POOR (0.64)

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