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South-Africa - Premier Soccer League logo South-Africa flag South-Africa - Premier Soccer League Regular Season - 29 Orlando Amstel Arena· Soweto Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:00
Orlando Pirates logo Orlando Pirates PPG 2.29
0-0 HIT CS2
Durban City logo Durban City PPG 0.93
Away· +121.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.4%
Odds: 1.18 EV: -33.5%
Draw 27.8%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +36.7%
Away 15.9%
Odds: 19.00 EV: +121.3%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 1.80 -37.0%
Over 3.5 12.2% Odds: 3.00 -38.0%
BTTS 44.1% Odds: 2.75 +21.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Orlando Pirates
1.46
Durban City
0.42

Model Suggestion

Home -33.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -33.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+121.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 65%
ROI -19.2%
Bet Hit 39% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=56.4%

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