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AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

AmaZulu

PPG 1.93 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Kaizer Chiefs

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.1%0-117.6%0-27.3%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.3%1-112.7%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.5%2-14.6%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.3%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% 25.0% 4.00 +8.4%

Draw 37.7% 31.7% 3.15 +18.8%

Away win 33.8% 50.3% 1.99 -32.7%

Over 2.5 35.0% 42.6% 2.35 -17.8%

Over 3.5 7.3% 22.2% 4.50 -40.3%

BTTS 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

D 38% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.1%

#2 0–1✓ 17.6%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 15.3%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AmaZulu0.7

Kaizer Chiefs0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AMAZULU · PPG 1.93

KAIZER CHIEFS · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

46%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.93), Away GOOD (1.86)

Win probability 1X2

AmaZulu (H) 28.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +8.4%

Draw 37.7%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +18.8%

Kaizer Chiefs (A) 33.8%

ODDS 1.99 · IMPLIED 50.3% EV -32.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

AmaZulu face Kaizer Chiefs in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AmaZulu a 28% chance, the draw 38% and Kaizer Chiefs 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for AmaZulu and 0.8 for Kaizer Chiefs (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AmaZulu are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.86 for Kaizer Chiefs. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +18.8%. This match finished 0-1.

AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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