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South-Africa - Premier Soccer League logo South-Africa flag South-Africa - Premier Soccer League Regular Season - 29 Mbombela Stadium· Nelspruit Tuesday, May 12, 2026 17:30
TS Galaxy logo TS Galaxy PPG 1.29
3-2 MISS
Mamelodi S. logo Mamelodi S. PPG 2.07
Draw· +16.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.2%
Odds: 9.50 EV: +15.2%
Draw 29.5%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +16.6%
Away 57.3%
Odds: 1.36 EV: -22.1%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.9% Odds: 1.91 -16.2%
Over 3.5 15.2% Odds: 3.25 -30.4%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 2.15 -1.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-2
4th 1-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

TS Galaxy
0.59
Mamelodi S.
1.46

Model Suggestion

Away -22.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -22.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+16.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 65%
ROI -19.2%
Bet Hit 39% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home AVERAGE (1.29)

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