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Opava vs Artis Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 28 ·Monday, May 11, 2026, 15:00

Opava

PPG 2.15 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Artis Brno

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.4% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+6.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.8%0-24.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.3%1-111.3%1-26.9%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.4%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.2%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% 42.6% 2.35 +14.0%

Draw 26.0% 30.8% 3.25 -9.3%

Away win 25.5% 37.0% 2.70 -18.7%

Over 2.5 59.4% 55.6% 1.80 +6.9%

Over 3.5 32.7% 33.3% 3.00 -1.9%

BTTS 57.9% 62.5% 1.60 -7.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob57.9%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Opava1.7

Artis Brno1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%

Form & verdict PPG

OPAVA · PPG 2.15

ARTIS BRNO · PPG 1.85

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.15), Away GOOD (1.85)

Win probability 1X2

Opava (H) 48.5%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV +14.0%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -9.3%

Artis Brno (A) 25.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -18.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Opava face Artis Brno in Czech-Republic - FNL on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Opava a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Artis Brno 26%, so Opava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Opava and 1.2 for Artis Brno (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Opava are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.85 for Artis Brno. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Opava vs Artis Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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