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Sekhukhune vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:30

Sekhukhune

PPG 1.62 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Kaizer Chiefs

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.3%0-118.1%0-26.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.7%1-111.9%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.5%2-13.9%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.2%3-10.9%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 31.7% 3.15 -3.6%

Draw 41.0% 34.7% 2.88 +18.1%

Away win 28.4% 40.3% 2.48 -17.7%

Over 2.5 25.8% 35.7% 2.80 -16.7%

Over 3.5 5.1% 17.4% 5.75 -42.4%

BTTS 41.8% 46.5% 2.15 -10.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -23.2%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob41.8%

D 41% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.3%

#2 0–1 18.1%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 1–1 11.9%

#5 0–2✓ 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sekhukhune0.7

Kaizer Chiefs0.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SEKHUKHUNE · PPG 1.62

KAIZER CHIEFS · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away GOOD (1.77)

Win probability 1X2

Sekhukhune (H) 30.6%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -3.6%

Draw 41.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +18.1%

Kaizer Chiefs (A) 28.4%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV -17.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sekhukhune face Kaizer Chiefs in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sekhukhune a 31% chance, the draw 41% and Kaizer Chiefs 28%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sekhukhune and 0.7 for Kaizer Chiefs (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sekhukhune are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.77 for Kaizer Chiefs. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +18.1%. This match finished 0-2.

Sekhukhune vs Kaizer Chiefs Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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