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Hilden vs Holzheimer SG Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:30

Hilden

PPG 1.67 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Holzheimer SG

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.8%0-21.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.3%1-15.2%1-24.1%1-32.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-04.7%2-17.5%2-25.9%2-33.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.6%3-17.3%3-25.8%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-110.8%4+-28.6%4+-34.5%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.5% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.6% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 55% / xG 2.9-1.6 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 3–1 7.3%

#3 2–2 5.9%

#4 1–1 5.2%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hilden2.9

Holzheimer SG1.6

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HILDEN · PPG 1.67

HOLZHEIMER SG · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Hilden (H) 54.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Holzheimer SG (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hilden face Holzheimer SG in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hilden a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Holzheimer SG 23%, so Hilden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Hilden and 1.6 for Holzheimer SG (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hilden are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.40 for Holzheimer SG. This match finished 5-0.

Hilden vs Holzheimer SG Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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