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Schonnebeck vs Uerdingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Schonnebeck logo
Schonnebeck
PPG 1.87 · HOME
6 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Uerdingen logo
Uerdingen
PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.87), Away GOOD (1.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.0%0-24.2%0-32.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-05.6%1-19.3%1-27.6%1-34.2%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.5%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.2%3-15.2%3-24.3%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.7%4+-23.0%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.9%
Draw 24.8%
Away win 34.3%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Over 3.5 46.1%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 58%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 6-1
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.5%

H 41% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 2–1 8.5%
#3 1–2 7.6%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schonnebeck1.8
Uerdingen1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHONNEBECK · PPG 1.87

UERDINGEN · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.87), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Schonnebeck (H) 40.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Uerdingen (A) 34.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schonnebeck face Uerdingen in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schonnebeck a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Uerdingen 34%, so Schonnebeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Schonnebeck and 1.6 for Uerdingen (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schonnebeck are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.80 for Uerdingen. This match finished 6-1.

PredictVantage

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