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Monheim vs Union Frintrop Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Monheim

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Union Frintrop

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-16.1%0-24.8%0-32.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.5%1-110.2%1-28.0%1-34.2%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.6%2-26.7%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.1%3-14.8%3-23.8%3-32.0%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.0%4+-22.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.8%

H 39% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Monheim1.7

Union Frintrop1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MONHEIM · PPG 1.07

UNION FRINTROP · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Monheim (H) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Union Frintrop (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Monheim face Union Frintrop in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Monheim a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Union Frintrop 35%, so Monheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Monheim and 1.6 for Union Frintrop (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Monheim are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.80 for Union Frintrop. This match finished 1-4.

Monheim vs Union Frintrop Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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