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Meerbusch vs Biemenhorst Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Meerbusch

PPG 1.73 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Biemenhorst

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.4%0-21.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.8%1-16.2%1-25.0%1-32.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.0%2-18.0%2-26.5%2-33.5%2-4+2.1%3 3-04.3%3-17.0%3-25.6%3-33.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-18.4%4+-26.8%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.4% — — —

Over 3.5 60.8% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 50% / xG 2.6-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.2%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meerbusch2.6

Biemenhorst1.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 60.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MEERBUSCH · PPG 1.73

BIEMENHORST · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Meerbusch (H) 50.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Biemenhorst (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meerbusch face Biemenhorst in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meerbusch a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Biemenhorst 26%, so Meerbusch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Meerbusch and 1.6 for Biemenhorst (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meerbusch are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.93 for Biemenhorst. This match finished 4-2.

Meerbusch vs Biemenhorst Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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