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Banik Ostrava B vs Usti nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:30

Banik Ostrava B

PPG 1.77 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Usti nad Labem

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.5%0-23.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.1%1-110.1%1-27.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.3%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.0%3-15.7%3-24.0%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.0%4+-22.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 51.3% 1.95 -7.6%

Draw 26.0% 28.2% 3.55 -4.6%

Away win 26.6% 30.3% 3.30 -7.3%

Over 2.5 60.2% 65.4% 1.53 -7.9%

Over 3.5 40.9% 43.5% 2.30 -5.9%

BTTS 58.8% 69.0% 1.45 -14.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.8%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2✓ 7.1%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banik Ostrava B1.8

Usti nad Labem1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BANIK OSTRAVA B · PPG 1.77

USTI NAD LABEM · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.77) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Banik Ostrava B (H) 47.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -7.6%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -4.6%

Usti nad Labem (A) 26.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -7.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banik Ostrava B face Usti nad Labem in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banik Ostrava B a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Usti nad Labem 27%, so Banik Ostrava B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Banik Ostrava B and 1.4 for Usti nad Labem (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banik Ostrava B are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.15 for Usti nad Labem. This match finished 1-2.

Banik Ostrava B vs Usti nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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