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Vikto Zizkov vs Sparta Prague B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 08:15

Vikto Zizkov

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sparta Prague B

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-15.3%0-22.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.6%1-110.2%1-25.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.3%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.7%3-16.4%3-23.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-14.9%4+-22.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% 39.2% 2.55 +30.0%

Draw 26.4% 28.2% 3.55 -3.8%

Away win 22.6% 42.0% 2.38 -27.7%

Over 2.5 59.3% 60.6% 1.65 -2.2%

Over 3.5 33.2% 38.5% 2.60 -13.7%

BTTS 54.6% 66.7% 1.50 -18.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikto Zizkov1.9

Sparta Prague B1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTO ZIZKOV · PPG 2.00

SPARTA PRAGUE B · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.0%

Win probability 1X2

Vikto Zizkov (H) 51.0%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +30.0%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -3.8%

Sparta Prague B (A) 22.6%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -27.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikto Zizkov face Sparta Prague B in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikto Zizkov a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Sparta Prague B 23%, so Vikto Zizkov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Vikto Zizkov and 1.0 for Sparta Prague B (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikto Zizkov are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.69 for Sparta Prague B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.0%. This match finished 0-3.

Vikto Zizkov vs Sparta Prague B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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