South-Africa - Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 28Peter Mokaba Stadium· PolokwaneSaturday, May 9, 202618:00
MagesiPPG 1.15
0-3HIT CS5
Orlando PiratesPPG 2.31
BTTS· +21.4%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home12.3%
Odds: 10.75EV: +19.3%
Draw24.9%
Odds: 4.30EV: +4.2%
Away62.8%
Odds: 1.35EV: -15.2%
Model lean: AwayNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.5%Odds: 2.20+2.3%
Over 3.521.4%Odds: 4.20-6.1%
BTTS46.7%Odds: 2.60+21.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st0-1✘
2nd0-2✘
3rd0-0✘
4th1-1✘
5th0-3✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Magesi
0.54
Orlando Pirates
1.82
Model Suggestion
Away-15.2%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -15.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: BTTS (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs Home AVERAGE (1.15)