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Prostejov vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:00

Prostejov

PPG 1.08 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

C. Budejovice

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.6%0-25.9%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.7%1-113.1%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.3%2-18.1%2-24.5%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.0%3-13.4%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.3% 48.8% 2.05 -21.5%

Draw 29.5% 30.3% 3.30 -1.6%

Away win 32.2% 31.3% 3.20 +3.0%

Over 2.5 46.5% 51.3% 1.95 -9.3%

Over 3.5 21.2% 29.9% 3.35 -17.4%

BTTS 52.3% 57.8% 1.73 -9.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

D 30% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Prostejov1.2

C. Budejovice1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PROSTEJOV · PPG 1.08

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Prostejov (H) 38.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -21.5%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -1.6%

C. Budejovice (A) 32.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Prostejov face C. Budejovice in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Prostejov a 38% chance, the draw 30% and C. Budejovice 32%, so Prostejov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Prostejov and 1.1 for C. Budejovice (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Prostejov are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.00 for C. Budejovice. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Prostejov vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions