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TS Galaxy vs Chippa Utd Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:00

TS Galaxy

PPG 1.31 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Chippa Utd

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-110.6%0-24.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.3%1-112.9%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-17.9%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.2%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 49.5% 2.02 -8.9%

Draw 29.0% 32.8% 3.05 -6.9%

Away win 25.9% 24.4% 4.10 +3.7%

Over 2.5 42.2% 37.0% 2.70 +13.9%

Over 3.5 14.5% 19.0% 5.25 -14.3%

BTTS 48.2% 46.5% 2.15 +3.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -23.2%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.2%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.4%

#2 1–1✓ 12.9%

#3 1–0 16.3%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TS Galaxy1.2

Chippa Utd0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TS GALAXY · PPG 1.31

CHIPPA UTD · PPG 0.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.54)

Win probability 1X2

TS Galaxy (H) 45.1%

ODDS 2.02 · IMPLIED 49.5% EV -8.9%

Draw 29.0%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -6.9%

Chippa Utd (A) 25.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

TS Galaxy face Chippa Utd in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TS Galaxy a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Chippa Utd 26%, so TS Galaxy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for TS Galaxy and 0.8 for Chippa Utd (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TS Galaxy are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.54 for Chippa Utd. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.9%. This match finished 1-1.

TS Galaxy vs Chippa Utd Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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