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G. Ratingen vs Homberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 31 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

G. Ratingen

PPG 1.93 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Homberg

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.0%0-21.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-04.4%1-15.7%1-23.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.2%2-25.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.0%3-17.9%3-25.2%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-111.4%4+-27.5%4+-33.3%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.2% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 58% / xG 2.9-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 3–1✓ 7.9%

#3 1–1 5.7%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 3–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

G. Ratingen2.9

Homberg1.3

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.2%

Form & verdict PPG

G. RATINGEN · PPG 1.93

HOMBERG · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Win probability 1X2

G. Ratingen (H) 58.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Homberg (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

G. Ratingen face Homberg in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives G. Ratingen a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Homberg 21%, so G. Ratingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for G. Ratingen and 1.3 for Homberg (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, G. Ratingen are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.00 for Homberg. This match finished 3-1.

G. Ratingen vs Homberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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