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Buderich vs Schonnebeck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 30 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:30

Buderich

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Schonnebeck

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.2%0-24.8%0-33.7%0-4+3.6%1 1-03.1%1-17.2%1-28.2%1-36.3%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.7%2-16.1%2-27.0%2-35.4%2-4+5.3%3 3-01.5%3-13.5%3-24.0%3-33.1%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.2%4+-22.5%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.8% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 50.1% — — —

Over 2.5 76.2% — — —

Over 3.5 56.7% — — —

BTTS 74.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob74.7%

A 50% / xG 1.7-2.3 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 7.2%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.3%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buderich1.7

Schonnebeck2.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.2% · O3.5 PROB 56.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDERICH · PPG 1.00

SCHONNEBECK · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Buderich (H) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schonnebeck (A) 50.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buderich face Schonnebeck in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buderich a 28% chance, the draw 22% and Schonnebeck 50%, so Schonnebeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Buderich and 2.3 for Schonnebeck (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buderich are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.43 for Schonnebeck. This match finished 1-1.

Buderich vs Schonnebeck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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