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South-Africa - Premier Soccer League logo South-Africa flag South-Africa - Premier Soccer League Regular Season - 30 Loftus Versfeld Stadium· Tshwane/Pretoria Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00
Mamelodi S. logo Mamelodi S. PPG 2.67
3-0 MISS
Polokwane logo Polokwane PPG 1.50
Away· +140.8% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.5%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -36.6%
Draw 33.3%
Odds: 4.65 EV: +54.9%
Away 17.2%
Odds: 14.00 EV: +140.8%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 29.8% Odds: 2.05 -38.9%
Over 3.5 12.6% Odds: 3.50 -55.9%
BTTS 35.9% Odds: 2.65 -4.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Mamelodi S.
1.26
Polokwane
0.65

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs P(Home)=49.5%

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