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Sonsbeck vs Meerbusch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 30 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Sonsbeck

PPG 1.14 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Meerbusch

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.8%0-25.4%0-32.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.4%1-111.7%1-28.1%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.2%2-18.7%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.1%3-14.3%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.0% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 33.6% — — —

Over 2.5 54.8% — — —

Over 3.5 32.4% — — —

BTTS 59.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.8%

D 28% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 0–0 5.7%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sonsbeck1.5

Meerbusch1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SONSBECK · PPG 1.14

MEERBUSCH · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Sonsbeck (H) 38.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meerbusch (A) 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sonsbeck face Meerbusch in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sonsbeck a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Meerbusch 34%, so Sonsbeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sonsbeck and 1.4 for Meerbusch (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sonsbeck are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.21 for Meerbusch. This match finished 4-1.

Sonsbeck vs Meerbusch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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