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Slavia Prague B vs Banik Ostrava B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 08:15

Slavia Prague B logo
Slavia Prague B
PPG 1.33 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Banik Ostrava B logo
Banik Ostrava B
PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.8%0-24.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.4%1-111.2%1-27.4%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.2%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.8%3-15.0%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.0%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.3% 45.5% 2.20 -4.7%
Draw 27.5% 29.9% 3.35 -7.9%
Away win 29.3% 34.7% 2.88 -15.6%
Over 2.5 57.0% 59.9% 1.67 -4.8%
Over 3.5 34.6% 38.2% 2.62 -9.3%
BTTS 60.9% 66.7% 1.50 -8.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 10.4%
Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.9%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 7.4%
#4 2–0 6.9%
#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Prague B1.6
Banik Ostrava B1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA PRAGUE B · PPG 1.33

BANIK OSTRAVA B · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Prague B (H) 43.3%
ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -4.7%
Draw 27.5%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -7.9%
Banik Ostrava B (A) 29.3%
ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Prague B face Banik Ostrava B in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Prague B a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Banik Ostrava B 29%, so Slavia Prague B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Slavia Prague B and 1.3 for Banik Ostrava B (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Prague B are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.15 for Banik Ostrava B. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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