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Uerdingen vs Blau-W. Dingden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 16:00

Uerdingen

PPG 2.07 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Blau-W. Dingden

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-17.2%0-24.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.3%1-111.7%1-26.6%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.5%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.5%3-15.1%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.0%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 52.0% — — —

Over 3.5 29.8% — — —

BTTS 56.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob56.2%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 2–0 8.4%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uerdingen1.6

Blau-W. Dingden1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.0% · O3.5 PROB 29.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UERDINGEN · PPG 2.07

BLAU-W. DINGDEN · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Uerdingen (H) 46.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Blau-W. Dingden (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uerdingen face Blau-W. Dingden in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uerdingen a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Blau-W. Dingden 25%, so Uerdingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Uerdingen and 1.1 for Blau-W. Dingden (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uerdingen are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.50 for Blau-W. Dingden. This match finished 3-1.

Uerdingen vs Blau-W. Dingden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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