Zbrojovka Brno vs Usti nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Czech-Republic - FNL Regular Season - 26 Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00

Zbrojovka Brno PPG 2.58

3-0 MISS

Usti nad Labem PPG 1.25

Draw· -2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Zbrojovka Brno face Usti nad Labem in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zbrojovka Brno a 58% chance, the draw 24% and Usti nad Labem 19%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.1 for Usti nad Labem (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zbrojovka Brno are averaging 2.58 points per game versus 1.25 for Usti nad Labem. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.7%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -13.5%

Draw 23.8%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -2.4%

Away 18.5%

Odds: 5.25 EV: -2.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.5% Odds: 1.50 -7.8%

Over 3.5 39.2% Odds: 2.30 -9.8%

BTTS 60.1% Odds: 1.57 -5.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zbrojovka Brno

2.06

Usti nad Labem

1.12

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -7.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -12.0%

Bet Hit 50% (24 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.58) vs P(Home)=57.7%