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Pribram vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 15:00

Pribram

PPG 1.62 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

C. Budejovice

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-110.6%0-25.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.2%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.5%2-18.2%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.5%3-13.4%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% 52.4% 1.91 -22.1%

Draw 32.6% 31.3% 3.20 +4.3%

Away win 26.7% 27.0% 3.70 -1.2%

Over 2.5 38.1% 50.0% 2.00 -23.8%

Over 3.5 18.4% 28.2% 3.55 -34.7%

BTTS 46.2% 55.6% 1.80 -16.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.2%

H 41% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.9%

#3 1–0 13.6%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pribram1.2

C. Budejovice1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.1% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PRIBRAM · PPG 1.62

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Pribram (H) 40.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -22.1%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +4.3%

C. Budejovice (A) 26.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pribram face C. Budejovice in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pribram a 41% chance, the draw 33% and C. Budejovice 27%, so Pribram are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pribram and 1.0 for C. Budejovice (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pribram are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.08 for C. Budejovice. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Pribram vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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