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Jihlava vs Vlasim Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 16:00

Jihlava

PPG 0.83 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Vlasim

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-112.3%0-27.6%0-33.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.6%1-113.2%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.7%2-17.0%2-24.4%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.0%3-12.5%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% 44.4% 2.25 -33.2%

Draw 32.1% 30.8% 3.25 +4.3%

Away win 38.3% 34.7% 2.88 +10.3%

Over 2.5 40.8% 54.1% 1.85 -24.5%

Over 3.5 20.4% 32.3% 3.10 -36.8%

BTTS 48.8% 60.6% 1.65 -19.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.8%

D 32% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.9%

#3 0–1 12.3%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jihlava1.1

Vlasim1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JIHLAVA · PPG 0.83

VLASIM · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.83) vs Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Jihlava (H) 29.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -33.2%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +4.3%

Vlasim (A) 38.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +10.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jihlava face Vlasim in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jihlava a 30% chance, the draw 32% and Vlasim 38%, so Vlasim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jihlava and 1.2 for Vlasim (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jihlava are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.25 for Vlasim. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Jihlava vs Vlasim Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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