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Holzheimer SG vs Monheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 30 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 13:00

Holzheimer SG

PPG 1.07 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Monheim

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.07) vs Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.5%0-25.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.6%1-110.5%1-28.3%1-34.4%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.3%2-18.4%2-26.7%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.9%3-14.5%3-23.6%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.6%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 36.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.9% — — —

Over 3.5 39.6% — — —

BTTS 65.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob65.2%

H 37% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holzheimer SG1.6

Monheim1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLZHEIMER SG · PPG 1.07

MONHEIM · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.07) vs Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Holzheimer SG (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Monheim (A) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holzheimer SG face Monheim in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holzheimer SG a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Monheim 36%, so Holzheimer SG are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Holzheimer SG and 1.6 for Monheim (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holzheimer SG are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.47 for Monheim. This match finished 2-0.

Holzheimer SG vs Monheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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