Sivasspor vs Igdir Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 37 BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu· Sivas Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Sivasspor PPG 1.56

2-1 HIT CS4

Igdir PPG 1.33

Home· +23.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sivasspor face Igdir in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sivasspor a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Igdir 25%, so Sivasspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sivasspor and 1.1 for Igdir (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sivasspor are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.33 for Igdir. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +23.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.7%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +23.4%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -3.3%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 2.35 EV: -41.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.1% Odds: 1.93 -3.3%

Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: 3.35 -14.2%

BTTS 55.6% Odds: 1.70 -5.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor

1.51

Igdir

1.05

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+23.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.33)