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Polokwane vs Stellenbosch Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Polokwane

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Stellenbosch

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.3%0-18.7%0-21.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.2%1-19.9%1-22.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.8%2-15.6%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.2%3-12.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 34.0% 2.94 +40.5%

Draw 32.1% 37.3% 2.68 -14.0%

Away win 20.1% 35.5% 2.82 -43.3%

Over 2.5 35.9% 31.3% 3.20 +14.9%

Over 3.5 7.2% 15.4% 6.50 -53.2%

BTTS 39.6% 42.6% 2.35 -6.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -23.2%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob39.6%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.4 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.3%

#2 1–0✓ 24.2%

#3 2–0 13.8%

#4 1–1 9.9%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polokwane1.1

Stellenbosch0.4

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 7.2%

Form & verdict PPG

POLOKWANE · PPG 1.33

STELLENBOSCH · PPG 1.17

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Polokwane (H) 47.8%

ODDS 2.94 · IMPLIED 34.0% EV +40.5%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV -14.0%

Stellenbosch (A) 20.1%

ODDS 2.82 · IMPLIED 35.5% EV -43.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Polokwane face Stellenbosch in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polokwane a 48% chance, the draw 32% and Stellenbosch 20%, so Polokwane are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Polokwane and 0.4 for Stellenbosch (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polokwane are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.17 for Stellenbosch. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +40.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Polokwane vs Stellenbosch Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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