Manfredonia vs Fidelis Andria Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Italy - Serie D - Girone H Group H - 33 Stadio Miramare· Manfredonia Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Manfredonia PPG 1.81

0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Fidelis Andria PPG 0.88

Home· -0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Manfredonia face Fidelis Andria in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manfredonia a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Fidelis Andria 28%, so Manfredonia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Manfredonia and 0.8 for Fidelis Andria (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manfredonia are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 0.88 for Fidelis Andria. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.9%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -0.8%

Draw 33.6%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -0.9%

Away 27.5%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -29.9%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.20 -16.4%

Over 3.5 11.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Manfredonia

1.07

Fidelis Andria

0.75

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 31.4%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=38.9%