Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Match Preview & Prediction

Fidelis Andria face Sarnese in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fidelis Andria a 66% chance, the draw 21% and Sarnese 14%, so Fidelis Andria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Fidelis Andria and 0.8 for Sarnese (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fidelis Andria are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.93 for Sarnese. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +44.5%. This match finished 2-1.