Nola PPG 1.40
Ferrandina PPG 0.13Nola face Ferrandina in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nola a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Ferrandina 7%, so Nola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Nola and 0.6 for Ferrandina (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nola are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.13 for Ferrandina. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.2%. This match finished 0-0.
Based on 27 resolved predictions
Home team in AVERAGE form (1.40), Away POOR (0.13) - Strong consensus