Citta di Fasano PPG 2.13
Martina Calcio PPG 1.53Citta di Fasano face Martina Calcio in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Citta di Fasano a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Martina Calcio 23%, so Citta di Fasano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Citta di Fasano and 0.9 for Martina Calcio (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Citta di Fasano are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.53 for Martina Calcio. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +34.9%. This match finished 1-0.
Based on 27 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.53)