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G. Ratingen vs Uerdingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

G. Ratingen

PPG 2.07 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Uerdingen

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.5%0-23.6%0-31.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.6%1-18.9%1-27.0%1-33.7%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.7%3-15.8%3-24.6%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.5%4+-23.6%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 47.6% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.5%

H 45% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

G. Ratingen2.0

Uerdingen1.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

G. RATINGEN · PPG 2.07

UERDINGEN · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

G. Ratingen (H) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Uerdingen (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

G. Ratingen face Uerdingen in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives G. Ratingen a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Uerdingen 27%, so G. Ratingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for G. Ratingen and 1.6 for Uerdingen (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, G. Ratingen are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.71 for Uerdingen. This match finished 1-4.

G. Ratingen vs Uerdingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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